Tuesday, 7 May 2013

Episode 29 - Mergers, acquisitions, failures, investments and trade shows

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Episode 29 of the Australian Power Transmission Podcast

In this episode:

Mergers, acquisitions, failures, investments and trade shows

Once again, thanks for joining me for episode 29 of the Australian Power Transmission Podcast, the only power transmission podcast according to iTunes.  My name is Damian Harris and I offer my heartfelt greetings from Melbourne, Victoria.

There are some other podcasts that have the manufacturing industry at its core; Manufacturing Revival Radio comes to mind, but to be honest I’m surprised that no manufacturers have really got on board with doing their own podcasts.  I love them, and by the fact that you’re listening to me now I’m guessing you do too.  Each episode I put out gets hundreds of downloads, and the Australian Power Transmission Podcast website has had tens of thousands of page views.  Bosch Rexroth has got a podcast which focuses on Lean manufacturing, and there are a couple of others, but that really is it.  We hear all the time that content is king and B2B engagement is key and blah, blah, blah.  Well come on manufacturers who have a marketing department, demand more from these kids and get them to do some work.

I scripted that last bit and it still sounds like a rant, but what are you going to do!  Anyway, what has been happening in our world?

*GE chairman and CEO Jeff Immelt has mentioned Australia in Dispatches, on his way to discussing GE’s industrial internet and how it could benefit the world.  According to Immelt who was speaking at a breakfast for daily broadsheet The Australian, Australia should be looking to repurpose its labour to benefit from high-level engineering possibilities and look less to natural resources projects.

Back onto the industrial internet, Immelt claims that there is $10-15 trillion per year just waiting to be created, from technologies such as smart machines, utilising extensive sensing and creating optimal asset performance.  You know, it sounds like SCADA to me - supervisory control and data acquisition - and $15 trillion is a fair whack; like the annual GDP of the US.  In fact, we’re missing a whole heap of acronyms on this one... HMIs, RTUs, PLCs, PACs, all running over TCP/IP. 

Staying with the Fairfield, Connecticut conglomerate, GE has scrounged around the bottom of its car's ashtray to find $3.3 billion in loose change to acquire Lufkin Industries and its oil and gas pumping expertise.

Lufkin Industries has an existing total workforce of 4500 across 40 countries, specialising in the power transmission equipment required for deep energy extraction.

The move represents an unofficial nod by GE management that the shale gas industry is set to feature significantly in future plans for the GE Oil and Gas division, and comes on the back of similar acquisitions that bring the total M&A spend by the division to $11 billion since 2007.

*The PriceWaterhouseCoopers, Australian Industry Group, Performance of Manufacturing Index for April has been released... and things are bad, very bad.  So bad, that the last time a result this low was reported was at the height of the Global Financial Crisis.  Well, we’ve moved from a Global Financial Crisis to an Australian Manufacturing Crisis.  The result for April was 36.7.  50 means we’re treading water.  Victoria recorded a 29.1.

The strength of the mining industry has driven a wrecking ball right through the heart of the Australian manufacturing sector.  The dollar has remained high, exports have dried up and now prices for resources have also cooled, yet the currency is stuck.  A long lead time federal election has meant investment in manufacturing is non-existent, and won’t be increased until the election takes place.

American manufacturers are slowly clawing back ground lost during the GFC and to offshoring, but they enjoy a large, diverse economy, with a multi-faceted manufacturing sector.  Australian economists are all too aware of Dutch Disease; the problems associated with an economy that becomes too reliant upon one natural resource, to the detriment of all others.  Well, we’ve got Australian disease, and hopefully it’s a good warning to the rest of the world. 

*In appointment news, Nord Drivesystems has welcomed John Thain to its growing roster as Regional Sales Manager for New South Wales and the ACT.  Nord MD Mark Alexander is quoted as saying that Mr Thain was highly regarded in the helical geared motor industry, and brought a lifetime of experience and product application knowledge to his new role.

Thain has 30 years in the power transmission game.

*Back in episode 11 I talked about the woes that had befallen electric sports car manufacturer Fisker.  From legal battles with competitor Tesla about the Karma’s series hybrid transmission through to the failure of battery supplier A123 Systems, Fisker has had an uphill battle on its hands, not least of which is a $193 million Department of Energy seeding loan which remains outstanding.

At $100,000 a piece, the Fisker Karma had started to find a steady following, with 1800 finding their way to owners across the US, although the A123 Systems collapse brought production to a halt last year; production which has not yet restarted.  In light of the pressing financial issues, the company has been forced to make redundant three quarters of its workforce of 220.

There is little doubt that in light of no new investors coming in – and considering that $1.2 billion has already been raised – a buyer for the whole business is the only feasible option on Fisker’s horizon.  I can’t see an automotive partner wanting to come in on this one, but I would love to be proved wrong.  Electric and hybrid vehicles will require subsidies for the foreseeable future.

*According to the very busy administrator PPB Advisory, Hastie Group Ltd directors may have breached their duties amid poor strategic, operational and financial decisions on their way to overseeing the collapse of the multi-faceted engineering firm last year, as I reported in episode 15.

The Australian Securities and Investment Commission has been advised of the possible breaches, implicating Hastie's auditor, Deloitte, and is considering whether action is pursuable.

Hastie went on a prolonged buying spree of engineering businesses at the peak of the market and exposed itself to extreme levels of debt, debt which it couldn’t service.  A failed attempt to raise more cash through a seasoned equity offering and more debt was the final straw, with nearly 2000 workers affected.

With some business units being subject to management buyout, PPB Advisory has suggested that the balance of the Hastie businesses be placed in liquidation.

*Packaging company Visy has expanded its operations in Queensland, opening a new $86 million beverage can facility alongside its existing Stayplton corrugated cardboard box plant.  The investment allows the firm to maintain its stranglehold on the Australian market in the sector and is expended to have an annual output of 1.6 million aluminium beverage cans and 600,000 steel food cans.

The Stayplton site has a combined investment of $150 million, and the new beverage can plant is the first to open in Australia for 20 years.  Details of financial specifics about the opening have not been revealed, although the local council does have an Investment Attraction Program which will have had some bearing on the Visy decision to further its Queensland investment.

*Whilst we’re talking about the electric vehicle market, Siemens has bought electronic components and systems developer VePoint from Nuremburg, Germany technology firm Semikron International.  The two companies have agreed to collaborate further on electric vehicle power electronics, which comes under Siemens’ existing Inside e-Car business of the Siemens Drive Technologies unit.

Siemens already has a significant investment in electric vehicle technologies, and the acquisition of Semikron should dovetail nicely with its ongoing work on its DC to DC converter.

The amount of money that changed hands as part of the purchase has not been revealed.

*As I have stated in the last couple of episodes, National Manufacturing Week is nearly upon us.  It is being conducted at the Melbourne Convention Centre (which will always be known as Jeff’s Shed after former Premier Jeff Kennett) on the 7th to 10th of May.  I’m going to have to be honest here, but it looks like we might have a fizzer on our hands.

A run down the list of exhibitors reveals a mere two businesses directly involved in the power transmission industry.  I’m hoping there are some other companies who haven’t been listed but will be attending, but I’m not holding my breath.  Of everyone I’ve talked to about exhibiting, most are giving it a miss.  If things are tight in the Australian manufacturing sector, then the squeeze is well and truly on in the power transmission game.

National Manufacturing Week has been delighted to announce there will be 300 exhibitors for the event.  I’ll be going – I wouldn’t miss it – but it looks like one hour is all it will take to see what I want to see, in a city of 4.1 million, in a country that bemoans the erosion of its manufacturing base.

*Contrast this with the recent Hannover Messe in April.  It’s massive.  Sure enough, it’s basically the de facto world trade show, but in the Motion, Drives and Automation category alone there were 1,370 stands.  Mark my words, I’m going to the next one, and that way you won’t have to hear me whinge.

The 2013 Hannover Messe also saw the introduction of numerous new products in the power transmission field.  One of the nicer ones is Lenze’s Smart Motor, which is an IMD that can be both programmed and operated via smartphone.

Competing with existing offerings from SEW, ABB and Bauer among others, the Smart Motor can be direct-coupled to a range of Lenze gearboxes for increased drive flexibility.  The motor is operable by a smartphone app incorporating near field communication wireless communications, and features many of the parameters of high-function variable speed drives.  Fans of this design point to the relative ease of installation.

Lenze’s initial marketplace contributions are a 7Nm maximum torque version and a 20Nm maximum torque version.

*Get your gondolas out and practice your Italian, because the European Power Transmission Distributors Association has announced that its annual convention is going to be in Venice this year, from September 18 to 20.

It’s the EPTDA’s 15th anniversary this year and Executive Vice President Hans Hanegreefs reckons 350 or so will attend.  Keynotes for 2013 include Kjell Nordstöm, Stéphane Garelli and Alan Beaulieu.  Three economists go into a bar... Actually, they’ll go into the Hilton Molino Stucky Hotel. 

Registrations are open now, to EPTDA members and what they call ‘qualified’ non-members, so check out eptdaconvention.org for further information.

*The G8, the G20, the OECD, ASEAN, the OAU, the OAS, NATO, OPEC and I’m sure a whole host of other acronyms of international alliances have just been joined by one that may have more significance in the coming few decades than any of the others, and that is BRICS.  Standing for Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa, the group all feature a strong manufacturing focus and because of this, business goals that are more or less aligned.

The CEO of Brazilian electric motor manufacturer WEG, Harry Schmelzer Jr., was an attendee at the recent BRICS Summit in Durban, South Africa, as one of the representatives of Brazil on the BRICS Business Council.  The main agreement to come from the Summit was for the creation of an in-house development bank to aid BRICS initiatives, in something akin to the World Bank.

*That brings episode 29 of the Australian Power Transmission Podcast to a close.  I know this one was a bit negative, but the news is the news.

If you would like to contact the show, go to www.australianptpodcast.com and have a dig around.  Also, if you’re on twitter, so is the show; @ozptpodcast.

Thanks for joining me and let’s speak again soon.

Episode 29 - Play it in the browser - if you dare...

Tuesday, 9 April 2013

Episode 28 - Sue Morphett at Manufacturing Australia and Belt Drives Overview

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Episode 28 of the Australian Power Transmission Podcast

In this episode

                Belt Drives Overview

Thanks for tuning in yet again to the Australian Power Transmission Podcast, or maybe for the first time.  If it is the first time, thank you for going out of your way and listening in.  My name is Damian Harris, I work in the mechanical power transmission industry and I have an interest in our field; not just in Australia but across the globe.  It is Monday, April 8th, 2013.

I’m looking forward to National Manufacturing Week, which is coming up in May – from the 7th to the 10th to be exact – in Melbourne, and even though it is probably going to be a subdued affair, I’ll bring you the best in show with regards the power transmission exhibitors.  To those of you who are listening in that will be there, be prepared to answer some on-the-record questions.

So, what’s been happening that we should care about?

*Sue Morphett is the new Chairman of Manufacturing Australia, having been appointed in March.  I say ‘Chairman’, as this is how she is described on the Manufacturing Australia website.  She replaces Dick Warburton, who is hanging up his soapbox.

Morphett is an interesting choice, if not controversial, thanks to her historical management of Australian manufacturing firms.  She is best known for trying to reverse the fortunes of former Australian clothing manufacturer Pacific Brands, accepting taxpayer funds to assist, before offshoring a major portion of production to China in the interests of shareholder value.  Along the way, she was in the sights of unions, who were responding to her multi-million dollar annual salary.  If nothing else, Sue Morphett is courageous.

Although not long in the role, Morphett has come out swinging.  First cab off the rank is the Manufacturing Australia list of priorities, which they call the ‘three pillars of manufacturing reform for 2013’.  These three pillars are cheaper energy prices for local manufacturers, issues with trade liberalisation and product dumping, and investment for manufacturing growth.  Energy prices are going to feature prominently in Sue Morphett’s future, as is, undoubtedly, the carbon tax.

So far, Morphett’s role has been overshadowed by her offshoring past at clothing manufacturer Pacific Brands, which she has defended, saying she did what was necessary at the time.  What was necessary included accepting conditional taxpayer funds for local manufacturing and then shutting down operations, with production filled by Chinese third-parties.

Just to recap, Manufacturing Australia is a lobby group that is funded by – in alphabetical order – Allied Mills, Amcor, Bluescope Steel, Boral, Brickworks, Capral, CSR, Incitec Pivot and Rheem.  When founded two years ago, it’s primary function (and, it could be argued, sole function) was to oppose any introduction of the Australian carbon tax.

*Kimberley-Clark Australia and New Zealand CFO, Tony MacMahon, recently told the Fin Review that Australian manufacturers needed to innovate to succeed, rather than looking to taxpayer funding.  MacMahon was obviously trying to distance the local operation from its UK counterpart, which is still suffering from the backlash of putting off hundreds of workers at its Barton-upon-Humber factory, which was originally set-up with a £12 million government grant.

*Disagreeing somewhat with Kimberly-Clark’s MacMahon is Australian Industry Group’s Victorian Director Tim Piper, who has welcomed a $52 million co-investment by the Victorian government with Mars Confectionery, $2 million coming from the government.  The money is going towards an expansion at Mars’ Ballarat manufacturing plant, so they can churn out more Maltesers.  Mmmmm, Maltesers.

*While I’m having a bit of a rant about CEOs and recent comments, Dow Chemical’s Andrew Liveris has suggested that Australians should think less about being an entitlement society and more about helping manufacturers.  He suggested to Sky that Dow would up its investment spend in Australia if it was entitled to subsidised energy, rather than letting it go for the international market price.

*Federal money has also been set aside for the Industrial Transformation Research Program, with $236 million allocated to food research, in bringing manufacturers and researches together.  Industrial Transformation Research Hubs will reportedly provide the opportunity for universities and industrial partners to focus on significant collaborative R&D projects with outcomes beyond their independent endeavours.  The Government will invest up to $1 million per year in each hub along with investment by industry partners.

Industrial Transformation Training Centres will foster close partnerships between university-based researchers and industry to provide innovative training for young researchers vital to Australia’s future industry.

*The race to the bottom in the Australian car manufacturing industry continues, with Holden accused of taking the money and running.  In a week when it was revealed that Holden has received a lazy couple of billion in government co-investment money in the past ten years, the firm has decided to trim its workforce by 500.  South Australian Premier Jay Wetherill is ropable, especially with his state poised to chip in another $50 million in the near future as a further co-investment sweetener. 

People simply aren’t buying Australian-made cars, just ask Ford.  Are we making the wrong ones?  Has world’s best practice passed us by?  Is the dollar killing exports?  Is our individual worker production ratio poor?  The answer is yes.

*Mitsubishi Electric has acquired a 100% share of KH-Automation - a long-term strategic partner – from Koop Holding Group.  The 50-strong KH-Automation specialises in process automation in the European market and the acquisition is expected to yield collaborations for both existing projects and an expansion into new business areas.  Mitsubishi Electric recorded sales of $44.4 billion last year.

*The recent attempted failed non-putsch in the federal government by supporters of former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd has left a battlefield strewn with ministerial casualties.  Most relevant to listeners of the Australian Power Transmission Podcast is the demise of Kim Carr, former Industry Minister and Minister for Manufacturing; important not so much on a personal level for Kim Carr but because there is no longer anyone responsible for Manufacturing as a portfolio.  Having said that, the Ministry was originally created for Mr Carr after the last failed Kevin Rudd putsch, which he also supported.

*In non-Australian automotive investment news, Renault-Nissan will invest $320 million to expand a complex in India that will churn out Datsuns, 600,000 of them per year.  I hope they use the money wisely and resurrect the 180B. 

The decision to spend in India rather than China may have had something to do with some recent antagonism between China and Japan, which has seen a few investment decisions by Japanese multinationals postponed.

Meanwhile GM is injecting $6oo million into its assembly plant in Kansas City, where there’s no place like home.  The money will go towards a new paint shop and presses as well as other manufacturing infrastructure, at a plant which has churned out over 12 million cars since the end of World War 2.

*The American Bearing Manufacturers Associaiton’s Essentials Course is gearing up, with locations right across the US and the newly-minted version in Phoenix on April 9-11. 

The Essentials Concepts of Bearings Course covers everything from Basic Bearing Types, Bearing Standards, Bearing Mounting and Lubrication Methods, Internal Loads, Surface and Subsurface Stresses, Bearing Failure Modes and a whole lot of group work.

It’s obviously too late to get on board for this one, but the next one is in Durham, North Carolina on September 10-12.

*Second-hand news but news nonetheless from IMS Research is that compact AC drive profit margins were down in 2012 but have been forecast to improve.  Quantities actually grew by over 2% in the Japanese and European markets, as manufacturers used compact drive units as market placeholders to maintain a foothold with otherwise profitable customers.

The low end of the market has seen the most competition, with IMS Research citing entries from both Delta and INVT, which has driven demand as prices have tumbled.

*The battles of the electorates are currently underway in South Australia, as MPs Tony Zappia and Nick Champion want a new manufacturing and innovation hub built in Technology Park, which just happens to benefit them politically.  Port Adelaide MP Mark Butler is fighting to have the development built in his electorate.

Adelaide will play host to one of ten manufacturing and innovation hubs across Australia, which are designed to provide a shot in the arm to a sickly manufacturing sector, mirroring efforts currently underway in the United States.

We’ll see who wins out later this year.

*Ohio Transmission Corp. of Columbus, OH has acquired Industrial Process Equipment Group.  Ohio Transmission Corp’s strategic business units include OTP Industrial Solutions with its power transmission focus and Air Technologies.

The acquisition will see OTP add IPEG’s offices in St. Louis, Decatur, Calvert City to its existing roster of 18 offices.

 

 

*The ways that designers of machinery have transmitted power has evolved in line with the technology that has underpinned design in total, since well before the industrial revolution.  We’ve all seen black and white photos of line shafts running long transmission belts, which were progressively replaced by individual belt drives as electric motors became task-focused.

In industrial applications, belt drives fall into various categories, designed for varying tasks.  Classical V, Special Profile V, Banded or Joined V, Multi-Rib, Flat, Synchronous and Variable Speed all serve their purpose, and are surprisingly efficient in doing so, when designed correctly.

Maintaining the friction developed between the belt and pulley contact surface is at the heart of belt drive design.  Things to consider in getting this right include the belt type and material, the speeds of the driving and driven pulleys and their diameters, pulley centre distance and of course the overall power to be transmitted.

Getting tension right in vee belt drives is done in a whole host of ways, some technical and some not.  Probably the least complicated test is known as the touch test, where the pulley is touched after operation and the drive has come to a stop.  If the tester’s finger isn’t burned, the tension is in the ballpark of being correct.  When it is too hot, implications are that the belt is slipping more than the 0.5% that is known as creep, which is a natural function of the drive operating.

In all honesty, vee belt drives are fantastic.  They perform in a whole host of applications and do it relatively inexpensively.  In becoming ubiquitous, sizing has standardised, with Z, A, B, C, D and E sizes available, although D and E are relatively rare.  Sizes for classical vee belts are measured on the inner circumference in inches.

As old as vee belts are, evolution has continued to increase load-carrying capacity, with the development of narrow section or special profile belts.  In Australia, we know these as SPZ, SPA, SPB etc, whilst the Americans have them designated 3V, 5V and so on.  Add to this the serendipitous discovery that raw edge cogged belts have an even higher load-carrying capacity due to more carry cords, and the range continues to be the first choice for mechanical power transmission.

Positive drives, where input and output shafts must be synchronised, have taken different forms over the years as they have developed.  Starting out as a trapezoidal shaped tooth design in imperial sizing, graduating through metric equivalents before arriving at the circular-tooth high torque drive design that we have today, timing drives give many of the benefits of chain drives and can work at higher speeds.

The high torque drive design like Gates Polychain and Eagle PD offers uniform load distribution, a smoother and quieter action, and most importantly a much higher load-carrying capacity, even under quickly varying loads.  Top of the pile in HTD belt technology in my opinion is Gates, but there are many brands that do the job, with a near equivalent.

Episode 28 - In the browser play

Wednesday, 20 March 2013

Episode 27 - The Carbon Tax Isn't Going Anywhere

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Episode 27 of the Australian Power Transmission Podcast

In this episode

                The carbon tax isn’t going anywhere

Thanks for tuning in for this instalment of the Australian Power Transmission Podcast.  It’s Monday, March 18, 2013.  I’m Damian Harris, coming to you from Melbourne – the home of the Australian Grand Prix.

There’s no time like the present, so let’s get down to business.

*Regal has bought RAM electric motors from Schneider Electric for an undisclosed amount.  RAM specialises is hermetic motors for HVAC, and has been part of the Schneider group since 2008, when they purchased the full RAM Industries.  Regal expects the purchase to add $2o million in annual revenues and increase scope in its hermetic motor range, which includes the Genteq brand, itself strengthened last year by the acquisition of OE Smith EPC.

RAM’s range covers sizes from 250 to 2500hp, and their facilities include testing and modification arms, alongside manufacturing.

*If you find yourself in downtown Parma, Italy, on March 20 and 21, make sure you have pre-registered for the first edition of Gearforum.  To quote from the Gearforum press release...

Gearforum is an international technical workshop dedicated to gears and power transmissions where International opinion leaders, power transmission buyers (coming from different industrial sectors; automotive, railway, construction equipment manufacturing, aeronautics etc.) and the largest international power transmission suppliers will meet to discuss on issues concerning the future of gears, expectations and solutions.

Italy is home to many gear and gear reducer manufacturers and their allied industries, and Gearforum looks like it might take off, so get in early.

*The importance of brand building has never been bigger, especially in the power transmission world, with most of the major players trying to trade off their reputations as they offshore manufacturing to developing nations.  There is, however, a flip side to having the most recognisable brand in the PT world.  Just ask the management of SKF.

The Swedish bearing manufacturer is taking the Dutch company Bearing International Holland to court, after they found that Bearing International Holland had repeatedly passed off fake SKF-branded bearings, manufactured in China.  These aren’t just deep groove ball bearings, but also large spherical rollers as well, where premature failures can have catastrophic consequences.

While I’m naming names, Indonesian company PT Esta Raya Mandiri / Terminal Teknik of Jakarta has also been caught selling fake SKF bearings, but also had large stocks of other brands with questionable manufacturing heritage.  SKF had been hot on the trail of the source of the fakes, which had distributed bearings and mounted units throughout Indonesia.

It’s not all in the far flung parts of the globe that this is happening, as one man has been given a 12 month jail sentence and banned from the industry for five years for knowingly flogging SKF knock-offs – in Sweden. 

Not to be outdone, Timken has also been on the case, shutting down a small plant in China that was manufacturing fake Timken-branded taper rollers, which also led to a printer that was making fake Timken-branded packaging.  Early on in the life of the Australian Power Transmission Podcast I did a feature on reverse-engineering in the gearing world.  These pass-offs in the bearing game have no such honourable label, they are mere fakes, in the best tradition of that nice TAG-Heuer watch that your auntie brought you back from Hong Kong for your 18th birthday.

If you’re on the Australian Power Transmission Podcast website, click on the ‘Just Say No to Fake Bearings’ button to go straight to the World Bearing Association’s push to crackdown on the lucrative, but potentially dangerous practice of power transmission counterfeiting.

*Rexnord, the process and motion control and water management products company of Milwaukee, has enlisted Goldman Sachs to oversee a possible restructuring to enhance shareholder value.  The news of the board’s self-professed lack of confidence in itself was greeted with a jump in share price of 14%.  Investors understand strategic restructure to mean divestment of one or both strategic business units.

Rexnord turns over around $2 billion per year and has a healthy EBIT with good levels of cash income, and is a well-known brand in the power transmission industry.  Possible suitors, I’m sure, are currently being courted by senior people at Goldman Sachs, but the question remains; how is it that I know about this?

*That damned high-value Australian dollar has been at it again.  Packaging manufacturer Amcor has announced 300 redundancies, to come from sites in Victoria and Queensland, alongside a significant profit increase of 16 percent, blaming the dollar for the need to streamline.  Amcor is also divesting some of its flexible plants which it acquired as part of the Aperio Group purchase last year.

For non-Australian listeners, Amcor was found to have colluded with its main competitor Visy in manipulating the price of cardboard boxes between 2000 and 2005, with the pair being forced to pay $95 million in damages to customers.  Amcor settled a claim by Cadbury out of court, after the confectionery giant had brought an action of $235.8 million against them, before being the first to blink and spilling the beans on Visy.

*Denso Corporation has released plans to invest nearly $1 billion in North America over the next four years, on the continued strength of the automotive industry.  2,000 jobs are also to be added as part of the investment, which will focus on R&D and increased manufacturing ability.

Overall, Toyota-owned Denso employs 123,000 across the globe and clocked revenues of $31.9 billion and earnings of $785 million last year.  I wonder if this figure includes the $78 million it was fined after it was found to be colluding to fix prices with Yazaki.

*In some appointment news that has come the way of the Australian Power Transmission Podcast desk, Brett Southall has been promoted to Sales Director at Donghua Limited in the UK, taking charge of sales management.

C&U Group’s North American subsidiary - C&U Americas of Plymouth, Michigan – has named Bill Childers as its new president.  C&U is China’s largest bearing manufacturer, with automotive and electric motor specialties.

Childers has had long stints at Emerson Power Transmission, NSK and Danaher, and has a mechanical engineering degree from Michigan State and an MBA from Syracuse.  He is also on the board of the PTDA and Chairman of the Manufacturers Council.

*A couple of episodes ago I talked about the Rosella sauce factory finding a new owner to keep the Australian icon going, but receivers Ferrier Hodgson have had no takers.  Up to 80 workers have been permanently idled from the decision.

Other business units owned by Rosella’s former owner Gourmet Food Holdings have found a new home, although the Rosella brand seems to be more valuable than the plant, so I think we’ll see an announcement on that front shortly.

*It’s reporting season for public companies once again.  Ingersoll-Rand sales were down 5%, Emerson’s were up 5%, whilst Regal Beloit’s full year revenues were up almost 13%, although Q4 results saw a sales reversal.  RBC Bearings saw Q3 sales up 1% but profitability fall.

Motion Industries 2012 sales were up 6.7% to $4.5 billion, with $1 billion booked to earnings.  Allied Motion Technologies reported 2012 sales of $102 million, down 8 percent on 2011. Profit was also down, by over 20 percent.

*Good news in Australian manufacturing if you’re in a federal government that is sinking without trace, and that is although Australian manufacturing is contracting, it contracted at a slower rate in February than it did in January.  45.6 was the Price Waterhouse Coopers, Australian Industry Group Perfomance of Manufacturing Index for February, up from 40.2 in January.  As we all know by now, 50 is treading water.  We haven’t seen a 50 for years.

If there is one word to describe manufacturing not only in Australia but in most of the western world at the moment, it would be ‘subdued’.  I’m looking forward to the day I change that to ‘buoyant’.

*The 12,000-strong United States lobby National Association of Manufacturers recently announced its new Board, with Doug Oberhelman – who is the chairman and CEO of Caterpillar - serving as chair of the NAM Board of Directors.  Vice-chair will be Gregg Sherrill, who is chairman and CEO of Tenneco.  These roles apply for two years.

Donna Harman, the current American Forest & Paper Association President and CEO, is the new chair of the NAM’s Council of Manufacturing Associations (CMA), and will serve for one year.

The National Association of Manufacturers has also released details of a study it commissioned NERA Economic Consulting to conduct, into the effect of a carbon tax on US manufacturing and jobs.  Not surprisingly, it outlines how it would be bad for wages, manufacturing output and the price of energy.

I haven’t asked for permission to quote from the report so am not authorized to pass on any of its details, but seek it out on Google and have a read for yourself.  What I will do is repeat the findings that they have publicized from the executive summary, which I’m guessing is what the purpose of releasing the information was in the first place.

I’m quoting the following directly from the NAM release about the report:

·         Any revenue raised by a carbon tax—under both carbon tax cases—would be far outweighed by t he negative impacts to the overall economy. A carbon tax would have a net negative effect on consumption, investment and jobs, resulting in lower federal revenues from taxes on capital and labour. Factoring in lost revenue from reduced economic activity, the net revenue from a carbon tax available for deficit/debt reduction and lower tax rates is relatively small.

·         The increased costs of coal, natural gas and petroleum products due to a carbon tax would ripple through the economy and result in higher production costs and less spending on non-energy goods.

·         A carbon tax would lead to lower real wage rates because companies would have higher costs and lower labour productivity. Over time, workers’ incomes could decline relative to baseline levels by as much as 8.5 percent in the 80 percent reduction case.

·         The negative impact of a carbon tax on total manufacturing output would be significant, with output from energy-intensive manufacturing sectors dropping as much as 15.0 percent and output from non-energy-intensive manufacturing sectors dropping as much as 7.7 percent.

The modeling all looks to be realistic and worthy, but is purposely narrow in focus and doesn’t consider the costs associated with inaction.  NERA puts forward a realistic case and an extreme case, and quotes from both.  There is undoubtedly economic pain with asking polluters to pay, but when you consider that the northern hemisphere is experiencing more extreme weather events, and Australia has just had its hottest summer on record, let that also be part of the decision-making process.

Meanwhile, Australia’s carbon tax continues to motor along since its introduction last year.  Australia’s proportion of manufacturing workers is around 10%, which is similar to the figure of the US.  Early nightmare scenarios and modeling don’t appear to have played out yet in Australia, but the federal opposition is still busy looking.  They are citing information about company failures, which are 12 percent higher now that at the height of the GFC according to News.  Penrice Soda Ash has closed its doors to local production, putting some of the blame on the carbon tax, and state governments are listing lost output due to higher energy prices.

Australian Industry Group front man Innes Willox has been all over the news on the carbon tax, calling for an early introduction to the emissions trading scheme, which isn’t due to arrive for another two years.  Willox argues that both major Australian political parties are committed to reducing emissions but via different means.

I’m inclined the agree with the Australian Industry Group, in that there is a market for the price of polluting and letting supply and demand decide what that price is, internationally, is the best way to achieve it.  Problems arise when we talk about international pricing... are we asking the BRICS economies to play the same game with the same rules?


*That brings episode 27 of the Australian Power Transmission Podcast to a close.

If you’d like to get hold of the show, send me an email at feedback@australianptpodcast.com or twitter, @ozptpodcast.

Also, another podcast that is worthy of your consideration is Craig Griffiths and his Making Business and Sales Work.  I listen to every episode as it comes out – which actually happens regularly, unlike this podcast, and his information and insight in usually pretty good.  I commend his efforts.

I’m looking forward to hearing from you and hopefully you hearing from me in another two weeks.  See you then.